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Home Blog July 2009

Archive for July, 2009

Hirschhorn: Achieving Greatness

Friday, July 31st, 2009

Everyone can achieve inner greatness. The key is to set goals. And while that may seem obvious, there are very few people out there who understand how to do this properly. For that reason, I’ve created a five-step process called C.H.A.M.P.
Video: Market coach Doug Hirschhorn, PhD, discusses what it takes for traders and any other professional to achieve greatness.

C is Controllable. No one can control everything that happens to them, but you can set goals that are entirely within your control. That said, money goals are not what I’m talking about here.

H is Hard. Goals should not be easy. Rather, they should challenge and push you to the next level.

A is Accountable. You either have to answer to yourself or allow someone else to hold you accountable.

M is Measurable. Make sure you’re able to quantify your progress along the way. It’s the best way to keep your eye on where you’re going.

P is Positive. Your approach should be positive. Think about what to do and avoid telling yourself what not to do.

By following this simple, five-step process, you can find your internal level of greatness in whatever you do.

Think better, invest smarter. Click here to view the online video of this post.

The Markets are Rallying, but are you?

Thursday, July 30th, 2009

As the markets rally to make higher highs an irrational human emotion begins to impact risk taking decisions. People tend to stick to the idea that “what goes up must come down” (aka reversion to the mean).

We see this particular irrational behavior in casinos with the roulette wheel. Basically, when people see that red or black has come up several times in a row, then they think that the other color is “due.” Math tells us there is actually less than a 50% chance that Red or Black will come up on the next spin, but people weigh a greater probability on the color that has not appeared in a while as if some magical force in the universe demands equality for each color.

It would be like flipping a coin and if it comes up Heads 3 or 4 times in a row (i.e. a TREND) then a person is more likely to bet on tails on the next flip. Again, thinking that since the odds of Heads coming is 50% and the odds of Tails coming up is 50%, then it is only fair for Tails to get a chance becuase Heads just came up 4 times in a row.

This is completely IRRATIONAL risk taking behavior because the coin does not know it has landed on HEADS 4 times in a row. And the 50% thing, well that is based on infinite samples, not just the ones you are observing.

So in reality, Tails is no more or less likely to come up on the 5th flip. 

How does this relate to trading/investment decisions?

In trending markets, traders tend to FIGHT trends, get stubborn and miss money making opportunities. So…even though the markets are rallying, most traders are not because of irrational thinking and waiting for the market to come back down. Well, Tails may land eventually, but no one knows when that is going to happen.

The big takeaway is to think objectively and not emotionally.

Dr Doug

Hirschhorn: Manage Risk or it Will Manage You

Friday, July 24th, 2009

To become Great at anything, including trading, you have to have three things:

1. A passion for what you do.
2. An unwavering internal confidence.
3. Great risk management, or 1 and 2 won’t matter.

The recent financial struggles of two formerly great athletes are a reminder that risk management is vitally important, no matter how much money you have.

First is former Cleveland Browns quarterback, Bernie Kosar. Kosar is smart, talented, hard working, generous and an over-achiever. Now in his mid 40s, he is divorced, his body is falling apart and he recently filed for bankruptcy. Bernie may be broke, but he’s not broken. Why? Because he’s a winner and he knows it. Kosar says adjusting to regular life is hard, making money is not. Kosar worked hard in the past to win and will do the same again to get back on top.

And then, there’s Lenny Dykstra. The guy’s nickname is nails, and no one played professional baseball harder. But Lenny’s been hammered by extremely poor risk management and had to file for bankruptcy. Is he a genius? Probably not. But he is an entrepreneur and a winner — after all, Dykstra did start a car wash franchise and sell it for tens of millions of dollars.

The lesson: You can have passion and internal confidence in abundance, but without great risk management, failure is the likely outcome.

Think better, invest smarter. Click here to view the video associated with this post.

Manage Your Risk or It Will Manage You

Monday, July 20th, 2009

 

To become great at anything,

1) You have to have PASSION for what you do

2) You have to have unwavering INTERNAL CONFIDENCE

3) But you better have GREAT RISK MANAGEMENT in place, or Passion and Confidence just wont matter

 

Two great athlete’s recently reminded us of this

* Bernie Kosar and Lenny Dykstra

 

Bernie Kosar

Smart, talented, hard working, generous and an over-achiever.

Now in his mid 40’s he is divorced, body is falling apart and filing for bankruptcy.

He may be broke but he is not broken. Why? because he is a winner and he knows it.

He says adjusting to regular life is what is hard, not making money, he always knows he can make money.

He has worked hard in the past to win and he is going to do the same again to get back on top.

 

Lenny Dykstra

What more needs to be said than the guys’ nickname is NAILS.

No one in recent times played cleaner, harder baseball then “nails.”

Is he a genius? Nope. But he did start a car wash franchise and sold it for tens of millions.

He is an entrepreneur, a winner…and like Bernie is now filing for bankruptcy.

 

Again,

You can have Passion and Internal Confidence but without Great Risk Management failure will always be a likely outcome.

 

Dr. Doug

Hirschhorn: Profiting from Persistence

Friday, July 10th, 2009

Never underestimate the power of persistence. Throughout history, political, literary and sports figures have learned that lesson. In fact, Winston Churchill once said, “Success is not final. Failure is not fatal. It is the courage to continue that counts.” View the video online right now.

As a Peak Performance Coach to the elite, I have discovered the formula for greatness is 10% talent and 90% persistence. What follows are a few reminders about just how important persistence really is:

  • Michael Jordan was cut from his high school basketball team
  • 23 publishers rejected Dr Seuss’ first book
  • 15 publishers rejected J.K. Rowling’s first Harry Potter manuscript
  • In 1905, a university rejected a young man’s Ph.D. dissertation, describing it as “irrelevant and fanciful.” That young man was Albert Einstein
  • A quarterback is told he’s too small to play at Notre Dame so he plays college ball elsewhere. He goes on to be one of the greatest NFL quarterbacks of all time. His name? Johnny Unitas.
  • A student’s paper is ridiculed by a professor who claims the idea is “not feasible.” That student’s name was Fred Smith, founder of Fed Ex

Clearly, not everyone is destined to be the next Albert Einstein or Johnny Unitas, but with enough persistence, you can be on the path to achieving your own level of greatness in whatever you do.

Think better, invest smarter.


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