Archive for August, 2009

Trader Talk with Todd Gordon, Pt. 1

Friday, August 21st, 2009

Todd Gordon is a senior technical strategist & trader at Forex.com. In part one of this interview with market coach Doug Hirschhorn, he discusses the approach he’s developed in his 10 years of trading. His most important lesson: Learning how to sit on his hands. View the video online.

When someone sits down to make their first trade, Gordon says, you feel like your job is to start trading. It’s a natural inclination.

People tend to feel the need to work all day long. But in the world of trading, that’s counterproductive. The first thing you need to learn to do is to watch the market and leave your trading platform alone. Then, when you start to see opportunities that match up with your trading style, you’re more inclined to enter the market.

If you’re just banging away all day, you’re not learning to be selective in your trades.

It’s also important to know you’re not meant to trade all markets. You need to have the patience, experience and discipline to look at a market and say, ‘is this market good enough for my money?’ That only comes from experience. So, if you’re a new trader, don’t get too discouraged if you aren’t able to identify your favorable markets. In time, you need to realize there are certain situations where you should be in the market and more situations when you probably shouldn’t.

By nature, I’m a technical trader. I favor Elliott Wave analysis. What that’s done for me is bring about disciplined pattern recognition. So I know when I should be in a market and when I should be out.

I take it a step further: With pattern recognition, I should be able to see the trade at least three hours before I put the trade in the fund. And it’s a rule I have—if I haven’t committed my trade to paper, I’m not allowed to trade more than 50 percent of the allowed size of the fund on a particular idea.

Plan your trade, trade your plan literally means see the trade in the future, realize this is a value area where you want to be involved in the market. Then, once you’ve had time to digest the trade, let it come to you and execute without hesitation.

The world got pretty ‘bulled up’ on dollars. And then all of a sudden, China was off about 20 percent from its highs, crossed into bear market territory, and the world was buying dollars for the risk aversion trade. Then the oil inventories number on Wednesday just blew the dollar out of the water.

People might be second guessing that game plan, but I’m saying probably another 2 to 3 percent down on the dollar, around 77, 77 ½ on the dollar index, but I’m going to be looking for that value area to start buying dollars again.

Remember, says Gordon, identify value areas based on your style of looking at the markets. And have the patience to let the market come to you. Don’t chase a market, there’s an opportunity right around the corner if you miss this one.

Think better, invest smarter.

Dr. Doug Hirschhorn on Good Losses, Bad Losses

Friday, August 14th, 2009

It’s a fact that not all losses are created equal. There are good losses and bad losses, and it pays — literally — to know the difference. Here are four basic reasons why traders find it difficult to take a loss. View the entire video post online now.

  1. Ego –- taking it personal.
  2. Financial pressures to produce -– After all, you trade to make money.
  3. “Trading to be right” mentality– No one likes being told they’re “wrong.”
  4. Traders are competitors — Taking a loss takes you out of game.

It’s important to understand there are good losses and bad losses. Bad losses are generally due to hesitation, doubt or panic. And those types of losses can decrease your confidence going forward.

On the flip side, good losses actually occur when you’re in control, trust yourself and stick to your game plan, which includes following your stops. Good losses can help build your confidence in the long run and take you closer to achieving a level of greatness as a trader.

Remember, at the end of the day, your best trade may be the one where you take a loss.

Think better, invest smarter.

Dr. Doug Hirschhorn on Keeping Your Money

Friday, August 7th, 2009

Market coach Doug Hirschhorn, PhD, discusses how traders make money and, more importantly, manage to hold on to it in a volatile market. View the video online now.

The reality is, making money is not hard, it’s keeping it that’s a real challenge. And that’s why many of the world’s top traders maintain three beliefs when it comes to money management.

  1. Their fear of losing money is greater than their fear of missing out.
  2. They have a “build” rather than a “make” mentality. They seek to build days to make weeks, weeks to make months, and months to make years.
  3. They Consistently stay within 10% of their high-water mark. In other words, as they’re making more and more money and start to give some back, they quickly cut losses, never giving back more than 10 percent off their highs.

Anyone can master these techniques by looking at the risk of a situation to help determine the risk of a trade. There are low, medium and high risk situations. Risk can be anything from volatility in a certain market, to opportunities that do or do not exist, to the uncertainty around you.

In high risk situations, you want to use small positions. And in low-risk situations, that’s when you want to size up and get big. If you use risk to determine position size, you’re well on your way to trading like the top traders.

Stick to this process and you’ll not only make money, but you will finally learn how to hold on to it!

Think better, invest smarter.

Is the Recession Over? Thoughts From Vegas

Monday, August 3rd, 2009

Some are standing on the sidelines, and others are thinking about jumping back into the investing game, but is the recession over? Should you wait more time, before jumping in?

In reality, the recession has nothing to do with human feelings and thoughts that cross your mind. Technically speaking, humans had the same fears about money 100 years ago, and they’ll continue to have the same fears 100 years from now.

It’s all a matter of whether you can control your feelings enough to make your trades succeed for you. Watch this video (as I connect with CNBC and some of its experts). This should help you decide whether it’s your time or not.