Archive for the ‘Peak Performance’ Category

“8 Ways to Great” on the Today Show

Thursday, February 3rd, 2011

Visit msnbc.com for breaking news, world news, and news about the economy

See today’s Today Show segment for my advice for turning your passion into a career.

Greed Does Not Compute

Tuesday, January 18th, 2011

Greed is Good? Not according to principles of investment psychology.

Greed is Good? Not according to the principles of investment psychology.

Did you think that you “got too greedy” after your winner turned into loser? If so, join the club. But if you dwell on that point, you are missing one of the keys to successful trading.

The trading gods are not out to get you. There is no rule that says you are only allowed to make a given amount of money on a given day. And the markets, for sure, do not know your current positions. Yes, I know, sometimes it feels that way though.

At its core, trading involves “Expected Value” –simply put, the combination of probabilities and potential payouts. EV = (Probabilities)(Payouts). When the EV is in your favor, then you have a definable edge. And great traders trade only when they have an edge. It has nothing to do with greed. It has everything to do with simple math.

Great trading is about following a consistent and objective decision-making process. Money is simply a function of what happens when a trader consistently makes trading decisions when he or she has a mathematical edge.

If you are questioning the validity and power of this concept, then look no further than the casino industry. The reason casinos are money machines is because they have the edge and gamblers don’t. If we play their games, over time, we are all guaranteed to become losers. Trading is not about gambling. It’s about edge and process. Great traders have little patience for greed. If you are still one of those people who think that “greed” is a reason great traders hold trades - then you clearly don’t understand what makes a successful trader.

Remember, great traders are made, not born.

Lessons Learned

Thursday, January 13th, 2011

Lessons Learned from the Great Recession

Lessons Learned from the Great Recession

Lessons learned from the past few years… Taking smart risks means cutting back when necessary and getting back in the game when the opportunity arises. To borrow an example from sports psychology, the fear of re-injury is a feeling experienced by athletes long after they have been hurt and are on the road to recovery. The same holds true for investors who saw their holdings collapse in 2008.

True top performers train themselves to rely on their short-term memories, avoiding a mindset of fear that leads to missed opportunities to grow and prosper. The average person can learn from the example of elite investors and traders — never take winning or losing personally - especially when it comes to money. View each situation on its own merits. If there is a great opportunity for success, then take the risk. If not, then don’t. The formula sounds simple enough, but emotions continually cloud our better judgment.

Watchmaking vs. Timekeeping

Wednesday, December 1st, 2010

My good friend Robbie Vorhaus has just written an incisive and relevant article about how by following your  passion you will be not only happier but potentially wealthier and wiser as well. There are, of course risks, but his real conclusion is that if you’re doing what you love, whether it’s for yourself or for somebody else,  your life will be better and more fulfilling.

Flash Crashes: Don’t Hate the Player, Hate the Game

Tuesday, November 9th, 2010

Dr. Doug Hirschhorn on Flash Crashes

Dr. Doug Hirschhorn on Flash Crashes

A recent NYT article reports that flash crashes, like the one experienced in May when the Dow dropped over 700 points in a matter of minutes, are likely to continue on scales both large and small. Many place the blame on technology, specifically high speed trading.  Others take issue with the concept of high speed trading itself. In the article, George P. Schwarz, manager of Ave Maria mutual funds says, “[High speed traders] make a mockery mockery out of capitalism.” I disagree as I believe their existence represents the core elements of a capitalist opportunity. George, don’t hate the player, hate the game.

Now, whether high speed trading is a responsible endeavor or good for the stability and rationality of the markets is a different question. I think high frequency trading destabilizes the fundamental approach to trading and I question if it actually drives prices to identify the true market value. But, speculative strategies are just that, speculative. As for the typical equities trader, and if high frequency trading is a help or hindrance to individual returns, I guess that depends on which side of the trade you are on when the high frequency trades kick in. So trading has become quicker, much quicker, but that does not change the simple fact that no one is able to predict the markets with certainty. And that uncertainty alone allows for the opportunity for any trader to participate and generate positive returns. Trade well, Dr. Doug Hirschhorn.