Archive for the ‘CNBC Video Blogs’ Category

False Beliefs About Trading the Markets

Saturday, August 14th, 2010

Choppy markets can cause investors to bleed out profits. To stay ahead in the trading game, you have to avoid buying into these five common false beliefs about Trading the Markets:

1) What goes up must come down and vice versa.

That’s Newton’s law, not the law of trading. And even if the market does eventully self-correct, you have no idea when it will happen. In short, there’s no point blowing up your account fighthing the tape.

2) You have to be smart to make money.

No, what you have to be is disciplined. If you want to be smart, write a book or teach at a university. If you want to make money, listen to what the market is telling you and trade to make money — not to be “right.”

3) Making money is hard.

Nope. Sorry. Making money is actually easy. Statistically, you’re going to do it about half the time. Keeping it, now that’s the hard part.

4) I have to have a high winning percentage to be profitable.

Not true. How often you are right on a trade is only half of the equation. The other half is how much do you make when you’re right and how much you lose when you’re wrong. You can remember that with this formula:

Probability (odds of it going up or down) x Magnitude (how much it goes up or down) = Profitability

5) To be successful, I have to trade without emotions.

That is both wrong and impossible. You are human so you have emotions. Emotions can be a powerful motivator to your trading.

When you feel angry or scared in trading, take that emotion and translate it into something more productive. For example, if you’re feeling angry because you just got run over by the market, view that anger as a reason to be more focused and disciplined in your entry and exit levels on the next trade.

Trade Well,
Dr. Doug

Shorting the Euro - Missing the Trade

Saturday, August 14th, 2010

Wall Street’s Premier Trading Coach

Sunday, July 18th, 2010

Optimistic data doesn’t always mean it is time to invest. Here is why investors are still jittery.

Fear is a Good Thing for Traders

Friday, May 7th, 2010

Many of my clients are “afraid” or are experiencing “fear.” Fear is not always a bad thing, though. In fact, for traders, feeling fear is not a problem, as long as they don’t panic and allow it to drive them out of or in to trades.

Among the fears traders face:

  • Not making enough money in these huge market moves
  • Missing out on big trades
  • Getting caught on the wrong side

At times like this, top traders see opportunity when others crawl into a hole because they are frozen by their fears.

Traders who keep their cool make money from the fear (i.e. shorting oil). Others keep their head and cut positions so they don’t get blown up (Greece and the ripple effect). Still others are waiting patiently for the moment to strike, like a sniper.

So how can all traders think like the top traders when it comes to fear?

  • Lay out the data and look at it from an objective point of view.
  • Pay attention to where the disconnects are because others are trading based on fear.
  • Keep positions smaller with wider stops; be ready to get bigger quickly the moment the uncertainty starts clears up, which it always does.

Trade Well,

Dr. Doug

Trader Personality Types

Sunday, March 14th, 2010

(Watch the Video Online: Market coach Doug Hirschhorn, PhD, discusses different trader personality types and how you can take advantage of them.)

Is there an ideal trader personality? In my opinion, no.

Actually, it’s more important to develop your own style based on your own personality. For example, if you’re analytically minded, you should have a trading style that focuses more on data, technicals or fundamentals, and less on price action.

If you’re an “intuitive” person, you should establish a style that has shorter holding times and a go with your gut type of approach.

If you are an introvert, you should avoid chat rooms and instead, set up your own game plans and stick to them.

And if you are an extrovert, you should increase your social interaction and look to pick out the “best ideas” you uncover from others.

So once you determine your personality type, how do you figure out how to put the right size on for the right trade?

Many traders fail to do this is because they’re distracted by the dollars involved in the trade. Get rid of this performance barrier by taking time to identify what you consider to be you’re A, B and C trades.

“A” trades are the ones that have highest conviction, while “C” trades have lowest conviction in, but are still worth doing.

Then write down what size trade you should do if it is an “A” idea, “B” idea or “C” idea. This is determined by how much capital you have to risk and what you’ve established as your daily loss limit.

Then all you have to do is match them up, meaning if you have an “A” trade then do “A” size. If you have a “B” trade, do “B” size, etc.

Traders generally get themselve into trouble when they have “A” conviction but only put on “C” size, or have “C” conviction and put on “A” size.