Posts Tagged ‘market psychology’

Don’t Miss Out in 2011

Wednesday, December 15th, 2010

The Investment Psychology of the Bull

The Investment Psychology of the Bull

Gary Kaminsky was kind enough to include me in his CNBC column yesterday, about why the market is poised to continue rising in the first half of 2011. He concludes that a combination of pressures to make up for the losses of 2008 and a fear of having missed or missing out on the 2010 rally will keep things moving. My feeling, from an investment psychology perspective,  is that traders feel much more pressure about missing out on a rally than a loss. There’s more in the column, which I urge you to read.

Stocks and Commodities Magazine Interview with Dr. Doug

Saturday, August 14th, 2010

Here is a link to my interview in the August Issue of Stocks and Commodities Magazine.

Read it and learn why H + W + P = E will change the entire way you trade and think about risk.

Trade well, Dr. Doug

False Beliefs About Trading the Markets

Saturday, August 14th, 2010

Choppy markets can cause investors to bleed out profits. To stay ahead in the trading game, you have to avoid buying into these five common false beliefs about Trading the Markets:

1) What goes up must come down and vice versa.

That’s Newton’s law, not the law of trading. And even if the market does eventully self-correct, you have no idea when it will happen. In short, there’s no point blowing up your account fighthing the tape.

2) You have to be smart to make money.

No, what you have to be is disciplined. If you want to be smart, write a book or teach at a university. If you want to make money, listen to what the market is telling you and trade to make money — not to be “right.”

3) Making money is hard.

Nope. Sorry. Making money is actually easy. Statistically, you’re going to do it about half the time. Keeping it, now that’s the hard part.

4) I have to have a high winning percentage to be profitable.

Not true. How often you are right on a trade is only half of the equation. The other half is how much do you make when you’re right and how much you lose when you’re wrong. You can remember that with this formula:

Probability (odds of it going up or down) x Magnitude (how much it goes up or down) = Profitability

5) To be successful, I have to trade without emotions.

That is both wrong and impossible. You are human so you have emotions. Emotions can be a powerful motivator to your trading.

When you feel angry or scared in trading, take that emotion and translate it into something more productive. For example, if you’re feeling angry because you just got run over by the market, view that anger as a reason to be more focused and disciplined in your entry and exit levels on the next trade.

Trade Well,
Dr. Doug

Shorting the Euro - Missing the Trade

Saturday, August 14th, 2010

Wall Street’s Premier Trading Coach

Sunday, July 18th, 2010

Optimistic data doesn’t always mean it is time to invest. Here is why investors are still jittery.